Finite-Sample Spectral-Gap Falsification: Exact Weighted Visibility Minimax, Hidden-Atom LAN, and Honest Dependent Tests
Finite Euclidean correlation matrices are routinely converted into spectral gaps by generalized eigenvalue, Prony, or Lanczos procedures. We determine a finite-sample boundary for what such data can falsify and what they cannot certify by non-rejection. Block Hankel pencils give monotone lower bounds on the visible transfer edge, while exact rank stabilization recovers the complete visible spectrum. An atom of weight w at any x*=exp(-g) changes every moment by at most w while forcing gap at most g; arbitrarily small strictly positive gaps therefore remain hidden even when an extra zero mode is forbidden. For a fixed nonsingular Gaussian experiment we compute the exact hidden-atom likelihood and derive its LAN information, sharp local power envelope, and powerless/local/consistent phase at the w sqrt(n) scale. Under a disclosed visibility floor, a fourth-kind Chebyshev filter solves the weighted localizer minimax exactly; a two-atom measure attains the bound, making the uniform sign threshold necessary and sufficient in the declared polynomial class. This margin feeds an exact-level two-coordinate Wishart test and a closed depth–sample resource law. A distribution-free companion uses paired differences and the exact quadratic range to handle bounded iid readouts with unknown mean and same-sample selection over a finite filter bank. A dependence-robust extension treats one stationary bounded beta-mixing trajectory: sparse pairing, Berbee coupling, and an explicit lag-covariance correction give finite-sample level, power, and total chain-horizon bounds under an externally certified mixing envelope. An interacting ANNNI-chain experiment through 2^16 states demonstrates exact symmetry blindness and multichannel recovery. Rejection falsifies an overstated gap; non-rejection alone is not a positive gap certificate.
Verification record
- Frontier-model screening
- Not assessed
- Source integrity
- Pass
- Bibliographic integrity
- Not assessed
- Reproducibility
- Partial
- Lean 4
- Not assessed
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AI assistance statement
AI tools assisted with literature discovery, adversarial proof checking, symbolic fixture verification, and manuscript editing. All theorem statements, scope decisions, computations, and the final text were reviewed by the author, who takes responsibility for the claims.
Frontier-model screening
Status: not_assessed. Any listed reports correspond to this exact version under ARR-SCREEN-1.0; no absent assessment is represented as a pass.
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Editorial disclosure
Founder-owned pilot record: the author and editorial signer are the same person; no independent editorial review or scientific endorsement is claimed.